عنوان مقاله [English]
The purpose of this study is to determine the key factors affecting land use changes in the pre-urban settlements using a Future study approach. The research method is applied and its method is descriptive-analytical. The statistical population of the research consisted of Mashhad metropolitan settlements. 34 settlements were selected using GIS software. To Determine Factors Affecting Land Use Changes First, the factors affecting land use changes were extracted by document observation method. To determine the factors affecting land use changes first, the factors affecting land use changes were extracted by document observation method then, using the Delphi technique of the managers (dehyaran), the cross-effects matrix of the components was formed. In the next step, with the help of MicMak software, key factors affecting land use changes in suburban settlements are identified and analyzed. The results show that of the 35 primary factors extracted, 14 factors Land use pattern, Employment, Changes in space utilization patterns, Population changes, Rural livelihoods change, Neighborhood change, Living standards, Land and housing change, Rural proximity to towns, rural flows and links - Urbanization, urban development and creep due to urban management decisions, land speculation boom, unnecessary metropolitan marginal population growth, weak supervision of banned lands and areas in construction, change of tools and production resources the most important key factors affecting land use changes in the pre-urban settlements are considered.